Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 159.966132 187.376545 220.111192 262.691730 317.538149 3.871418e+02 4.844238e+02
2025-02-23 121.674952 153.742721 196.526827 259.879153 355.287074 5.011491e+02 7.586722e+02
2025-03-02 101.753866 134.859137 182.316690 259.130375 388.907906 6.192246e+02 1.120811e+03
2025-03-09 90.085503 123.933932 175.318781 264.885817 432.299417 7.743551e+02 1.703714e+03
2025-03-16 79.639756 112.564015 164.699026 260.846852 455.619105 9.041579e+02 2.406767e+03
2025-03-23 75.880035 110.640571 168.466675 282.627732 538.632456 1.231850e+03 4.442251e+03
2025-03-30 68.387755 101.508965 158.207593 274.785056 553.249750 1.392895e+03 6.376259e+03
2025-04-06 63.275091 95.623474 152.637176 274.924699 587.536316 1.652707e+03 1.040128e+04
2025-04-13 58.889959 90.414032 147.431298 274.501671 620.632694 1.952271e+03 1.800898e+04
2025-04-20 56.366956 88.140695 147.377304 285.583111 692.846010 2.533645e+03 4.518066e+04
2025-04-27 55.525505 88.753791 153.022026 311.772696 830.011918 3.780748e+03 3.186088e+05
2025-05-04 51.915485 83.830267 146.625901 306.015668 853.384797 4.383801e+03 1.964145e+06
2025-05-11 49.355023 80.823466 144.239270 311.529487 930.183661 5.789300e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 46.323297 76.641503 138.824289 307.665636 968.849520 7.102448e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 43.830739 73.272604 134.747027 306.704737 1022.258991 9.069880e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 42.119190 71.285413 133.504206 313.974690 1124.752024 1.308788e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 39.833695 67.929149 128.661953 308.870745 1159.546588 1.643155e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 39.535265 68.611681 133.436913 336.478908 1420.236994 3.628707e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 37.330715 65.113302 127.611354 326.514258 1428.992411 4.545453e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 35.801237 62.930689 124.807954 326.691452 1515.073685 7.200421e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 34.363411 60.833371 121.979325 326.154694 1599.461049 1.211672e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 33.647672 60.239470 122.924937 340.240742 1833.575315 4.096897e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 33.666246 61.254762 128.232362 373.736703 2340.130546 7.494906e+07 NaN